martedì 8 novembre 2011

Doomsday scenarios from the standpoint of food (Part Two)


Here is the chronicle of what would happen if there were even a scenario setin the previous post:

  • The epicenter of this perfect storm (made of subsequent disasters or evencontemporary) will probably be in Asia. Although the catalyst could emerge at any place on the planet, the large Asian population, the rapid growth of the food industry and the gap between that sector and the latent capacity of the medical and political systems indicate that Asia has a great chance of being the first dominoes.
[...]
  • In this scenario the Asian markets cereals already on the ropes because of the rapid expansion of herds in recent years, would become explosivepushing prices to unprecedented levels, causing repercussions in all global markets 
  • In the United States Congress approved emergency measures to encouragegrain cultivation and suspends subsidies for ethanol production and all non-productive acres included in various conservation programs are unlockedwhile farmers respond with the largest in the history of cereal seed . But as in China in the United States presents the gradual warming of the climate bill in terms of [...] made ​​a succession of droughts, storms, floods hit the corn belt. 
  • With the continuing shortages of grain markets in the food program declaresthe impossibility of feeding some 120 million people in sub Saharan Africa. 
In Central America, millions of people begin to move toward the north, the border with the United States

Some oil supply forecasts indicate that the link between food production and fossil fuels is so narrow that a peak in oil production and the consequentdecline in food supply would reduce the global population of several billion people over the next two decades.

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